The Guilty Bystanders: Gettin' High On Information

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VideoSen. Barack Obama : 2008 Al Smith Dinner (Part 1)Oct 17, '08 10:32 PM
for everyone
I watched this live last night on CSPAN. I really loved Obama's Bloomberg/Bill Clinton joke. The thing is that I think he has problems laughing at himself, re: the Greek pillars comment. He's a really good orator but I don't know why he stumbled along during this speech. It should have been easy!

I also liked his comments about his not being born in a manger... he was actually born on Krypton, sent here by his father to save the planet Earth!

(Politics aside in these four videos.)


Import.flv (14.5 MB)

Blog EntryOPERATION CHAOSMay 12, '08 7:25 PM
for everyone
What an election this is turning out to be. Hillary and Obama have both managed to hold on this long, constantly bickering back and forth. The media is counting Hillary out. TIME magazine, to which I subscribe, is counting Hillary out. Ann Coulter, my bemusing conservative compatriot, is counting Hillary out. But I'm not!

Right now it is 1588 to 1462, Obama's lead. She's only 162 delegates behind! From my understanding, there are about 250 superdelegates floating around either neutral or undecided. There's also about 174 delegates from states yet. Now, granted, the Democrats' system where the winner doesn't take all will sustain Hillary but will make it hard for her to beat Obama. On top of that, the superdelegates are awfully greasy. It's hard to get your hands on one and it is even harder to hold on to it, as Ms. Clinton has been noticing as of late.

The good news for Hitlery is that a Rasmussen poll puts her at 56% over Obama's 27% in West Virginia, the next state to vote with 28 delegates. A SurveyUSA poll puts Hillary over Obama 62% to 28% in Kentucky that has 51 delegates for grabs, up after WV. Oregon, the largest prize left, has 52 delegates available with Obama 51% Hillary 39%.

The way that is explained is that Hillary has a big lead in each a medium and large state, while Obama has a small lead over Hillary in the biggest state. Buckle that with the fact that Hillary has two states but a deficit and you've got a hell of a race. That doesn't even make mention of  South Dakota and Montana with admittedly small amounts of vital candidates.

A Gallup poll puts Obama at 48% and Hillary at 46% nationally for the nomination. That hardly discounts this as a blowout race in which Hillary should drop out! I'm shocked at the axe job she's gotten in the media recently. It's not even a sizable lead at all, especially when Gallup cites a
±3 percentage points margin of error! Theoretically it could be Hillary 49% Obama 45%.

Even though I love Rush Limbaugh's idea of Republicans voting for Hillary (for which this post is entitled, which apparently paid off for her in Indiana), and I love the idea of splintering the Democratic party, this race needs to be fought to the convention unless there is a clear leader. I'm really interested to see how it turns out if it is indeed fought to the convention, though.

Last time the Democrats were in such a fuzzle it was 1968, and you see how that election went for them with Richard Nixon winning the presidency. This bodes amazingly well for John McCain, who doesn't have much support from hard-right conservatives and thereby doesn't have a secure holding on the GOP voter bloc, not to mention that it would have been unimaginable for a Republican to have a flying chance in 2008 looking at the race from 2005, 2006, or even most of 2007.

This gives him time to let the public get sick of a Democratic candidate, whichever wins the nomination, by having another Democrat rip him apart, saving McCain time, money, face, and attacks on his own character. He's just happily watching from the sidelines, raising funds and whatnot.

Even if a lot of Republicans don't like John McCain, well, gosh darn it, I like him! I'd rather have a war hero Senator in the White House with a pretty wife than a lawyer with a scandalous hubby or a lawyer with an unpatriotic wife. That, and he's a Republican! Look, God handed this race to the GOP on a silver platter with the divided party, the Republican candidate Democrats can vote for, and an early sealed nomination, even in spite of a very rough-looking political situation that GW left us.

So eat, drink, and be merry... the forecast looks good in November.

-Ze Baron


The day was abuzz with politics as the Pennsylvania primary was well underway. I shared some of my thoughts with you before in "Ode To Pennsylvania." As this crucial April 22 draws to a close, I have more thoughts to share.

Firstly, I haven't watched the news at all today. I haven't even read any election coverage online. It's been a busy day. But I'm going to make a prediction. My prediction is the Hillary is going to sweep Pennsylvania by double digits, my guess being 10% or 12% over Obama at most. There are two reasons I say that... first, it'll be that much because she's been canvassing Pittsburgh, Philidelphia, and the liberal hell-hole Johnstown (of John Murtha fame.) Chelsea's been hitting up college campuses for quite a while. Slick Willy has be been riding up and down PA hitting small and medium sized towns for votes. Obama is just one person.

But Obama has many volunteers. Not only that, he's outspending her three- or four-to-one. Obama started commercials fast and thick, but Hillary now has about the same number as him. In my town, there are many, many Hillary signs and only a few Obama signs. Less than a week ago the Obama HQ here got real Obama signs. Previously they were displaying a fairly well-done hand-drawn Obama sign in the window.

I think Obama's going to take Philidelphia, hands-down. He'll get Pittsburgh, too. Hillary, though, will get everything outside Philly limits, like the suburbs, as well as everything between Philly and Pittsburgh. You see, Pennsylvania, overall, is a red state. There are just so many people in the liberal Pitts-Philly areas that it counterbalences it. That's why we're traditionally known as a swing state. We bleed purple, like a few other states.

Hillary is going to take the traditionally red country area. She's the less psycho-liberal of the two. She's got major campaigning going on, she's got the support of the gov'nah and John Murtha. She was also born here, little do most people know.

Anyway, I think she'll win by double-digits. She needs to win by that much to give the superdelegates doubt at the convention (and split the party, to the GOP's cheers.) If she loses, or wins by a very narrow margin, and Obama gets the nomination, well...

I can see her running independant. She has the balls to do it. The Clintons hate losing -- they're a vicious couple. Whether she could pull it off... that would be something else entirely. I think if Obama could round up the money, he might do alright as an independant. Hillary, though, is the type of politician who could handle an independant run.

Anyway, even then, it would more effectively split the Democratic party than would any faltering at the convention. I think even though 2006 was bad for the GOP and 2008 was forecasted to be worse... well, I think it's going to be better.

-Ze Baron

VideoBill Clinton's Voodoo DollFeb 16, '08 12:43 AM
for everyone
A European in museum unknowingly comes across Bill Clinton's voodoo doll.

Video Length: 1:09 (min/sec)


Import.flv (2.7 MB)

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